The simplest bet in sports — you pick which team wins, period. No spread involved. The odds reflect how likely each team is to win: favorites pay less, underdogs pay more.

Instead of picking who wins, you pick whether a team wins by more than a set number of points/runs (covers the spread) or keeps the game close enough (beats the spread as the underdog). In baseball the spread is always ±1.5 runs. In basketball it varies by game.

Baseball's version of the point spread. Always set at ±1.5 runs. The favorite is -1.5 (must win by 2+), the underdog is +1.5 (covers if they win or lose by 1). Same concept as ATS — just baseball's specific name for it.

The number of points a favorite must win by for a bet on them to pay out. Set by sportsbooks to attract equal money on both sides. A negative spread means the team is favored; positive means they're the underdog.

When a team wins their ATS bet. The favorite "covers" by winning by more than the spread. The underdog "covers" by winning outright or losing by less than the spread.

The sportsbook's built-in fee. Standard juice is -110 on both sides of a spread, meaning you bet $110 to win $100. The 10% difference is how the book makes money regardless of who wins.

A bet on whether the combined score of both teams will be over or under a number set by the sportsbook. You're not picking a winner — just whether it'll be a high- or low-scoring game.

The win probability baked into the Vegas odds. A -180 moneyline implies a 64.3% chance of winning. Our model compares its own probability to this number to find edges.

Our internal grading system based on how strongly our AI models agree. When multiple models independently point to the same team, confidence is higher. Three tiers: Lean (50–67%), Med (67–70%), and High (70%+). High confidence picks have historically won at the highest rate.

Profit as a percentage of total wagered. An ROI of +5.5% means for every $100 bet, you averaged $5.50 profit over the sample. Accounts for juice, so a positive ROI is meaningful — you need to win ~52.4% just to break even.

A standardized bet size used to measure profit without tying it to a dollar amount. One unit = whatever your standard bet is ($10, $50, $100). Tracking in units keeps results honest and comparable regardless of bet size.

When our moneyline model and ATS model disagree on which team to back. For example: our model picks the Padres to win the game (moneyline), but the Dodgers to cover -1.5 (ATS). Both picks are shown — you choose which market to play.